Saturday, June 23, 2012

Run differentials

Here's a look at the run differential leader board in the AL, which is a bit different from the standings:

Texas +93
NY Yankees +53
Boston +41
Toronto +40
Chicago Sox +34
LA Angels +31
Tampa Bay +16
Baltimore +3

This shows us several things:

* Baltimore is due to fade and is essentially a .500 team that has gotten lucky.
* Cleveland doesn't have a positive run differential and is due to tank very soon with Chicago headed back to first place.
* The Yankees are good, yet again.
* Texas is the class of the division.
* Boston could be ready to start a run towards second place in the AL East, provided it gets everyone healthy. The reason that the Red Sox are 3 games below their expected win percentage is that they are 0-4 in extra inning games. With the return of Andrew Bailey and Daniel Bard and emergence of the bullpen as a whole, this team could be primed for a playoff run.